Aurora comes into range in Minsk at around Kp 6. Kp is a planetary three-hour index. It says how far the auroral oval reaches, not where the aurora is at a given minute, so this is a guide, not a guarantee.
The Kp beside each place is roughly what it takes for aurora to show low on the northern horizon there: a band, not a switch. Open a place for tonight's cloud cover, its hours of darkness and the forecast for the night ahead.
Minsk is the one place we track in Belarus. It sits at about 50.2° magnetic latitude, and that is what decides it: distance from the auroral oval, the ring around the magnetic pole where aurora forms, not how far north a place looks on a map. Aurora comes into range there at around Kp 6.
Being well placed is not the same as seeing it. Cloud and darkness decide the night: aurora cannot be seen through overcast, or against a sky that never gets dark. Get away from town lights and give your eyes twenty minutes to adjust.
Kp reached 6 or more on 13 of the last 365 nights.
Kp 6 is roughly what Minsk needs for aurora to come into range.
This is how often the geomagnetic activity was there, not how often aurora was seen. It counts nights when Kp was that high between 20:00 and 04:00 local solar time. It ignores cloud, and it ignores summer daylight, when northern skies never get dark enough.
The highest night-time Kp in that period was 8.7, on the night of 11 November 2025.
Nights with Kp 6 or more in each calendar month, from October 2025 to October 2026. The months at each end are incomplete. Kp history from GFZ Potsdam (CC BY 4.0).
One email when a geomagnetic storm makes aurora likely at your latitude. No digest, no noise.
Each place's Kp comes from its magnetic latitude (AACGM) and the NOAA auroral-oval boundary table, allowing for aurora being seen a few hundred kilometres beyond the oval's edge. It is a guide, not a guarantee: aurora can appear below these numbers and fail to appear above them. Latest Kp from NOAA SWPC.
